The World in 2050

The World in 2050

Four Forces Shaping Civilization's Northern Future

Book - 2010
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Penguin Putnam
A vivid forecast of our planet in the year 2050 by a rising star in geoscience, distilling cutting-edge research into four global forces: demographic trends, natural resource demand, climate change, and globalization.

The world's population is exploding, wild species are vanishing, our environment is degrading, and the costs of resources from oil to water are going nowhere but up. So what kind of world are we leaving for our children and grandchildren? Geoscientist and Guggenheim fellow Laurence Smith draws on the latest global modeling research to construct a sweeping thought experiment on what our world will be like in 2050. The result is both good news and bad: Eight nations of the Arctic Rim (including the United States) will become increasingly prosperous, powerful, and politically stable, while those closer to the equator will face water shortages, aging populations, and crowded megacities sapped by the rising costs of energy and coastal flooding.

The World in 2050 combines the lessons of geography and history with state-of-the-art model projections and analytical data-everything from climate dynamics and resource stocks to age distributions and economic growth projections. But Smith offers more than a compendium of statistics and studies- he spent fifteen months traveling the Arctic Rim, collecting stories and insights that resonate throughout the book. It is an approach much like Jared Diamond took in Guns, Germs, and Steel and Collapse, a work of geoscientific investigation rich in the appreciation of human diversity.

Packed with stunning photographs, original maps, and informative tables, this is the most authoritative, balanced, and compelling account available of the world of challenges and opportunities that we will leave for our children.



Baker & Taylor
"A vivid, scientifically based forecast of our planet in forty years, distilling cutting edge research into these world-changing forces: demographic trends; natural resource demand; climate change; globalization"--Jacket flap.

Blackwell Publishing
The world's population is exploding, wild species are vanishing, our environment is degrading, and the cost of resources from oil to water are going nowhere but up. What kind of world are we leaving for our children and grandchildren? The news is both alarmingly bad and surprisingly good.

In The World in 2050, scientist and Guggenheim fellow Laurence C. Smith constructs a sweeping thought experiment: accept that these four forces are exceptional, accept the mainstream interpretation of the global physical data we now have, and let the tape run for forty years. The headline results? Eight nations of the Arctic Rim (including the United States) will become increasingly prosperous, powerful, and politically stable while those closer to the equator will face water shortages, aging populations, and crowded megacities sapped by the rising costs of energy and coastal flooding. Smith's core argument is that these four global pressures will transform the northern quarter of our planet, making it a place of greater human activity, strategic value, and economic importance.

Smith combines the lessons of geography and history with state-of-the-art model projections and analytical data---everything from climate dynamics and resource stocks to age distributions and economic growth projections. But Smith offers more than a compendium of statistics and studies---he spent fifteen months traveling the northern world, gathering personal experiences, insights, and interviews. These stories resonate throughout the book, making. The World in 2050 an extraordinary human work of scientific investigation.

Packed with original maps, photographs, and tables, this is the most up-to-date, balanced, and compelling account available of the challenges and opportunities facing our world in the coming century.

Baker
& Taylor

Draws on the latest research to present a balanced forecast of mid-21st-century Earth, suggesting how climate change may actually benefit several countries, in a report that makes related predictions about future populations, politics and military engagements.
Draws on the latest research to present a balanced forecast of mid-twenty-first-century Earth, suggesting how climate change may actually benefit several countries, and makes related predictions about future populations, politics, and military engagements.
What kind of world are we leaving for our children and grandchildren? Geoscientist Laurence Smith draws on the latest global modeling research to construct a sweeping thought experiment on what our world will be like in 2050. The result is both good newsand bad: Eight nations of the Arctic Rim (including the United States) will become increasingly prosperous, powerful, and politically stable, while those closer to the equator will face water shortages, aging populations, and crowded megacities sapped bythe rising costs of energy and coastal flooding. Smith combines the lessons of geography and history with state-of-the-art model projections and analytical data--everything from climate dynamics and resource stocks to age distributions and economic growth projections. But Smith offers more than a compendium of statistics and studies--he spent fifteen months traveling the Arctic Rim, collecting stories and insights that resonate throughout the book.--From publisher description.

Publisher: New York : Dutton, Penguin Group USA, c2010
ISBN: 9780525951810
Characteristics: 322 p

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HowardWilliams
Sep 07, 2015

Rather 'chatty', does contain some useful data about trends towards 2050 but no solutions.

Corey G Brooks Dec 08, 2014

"As an American, Black, and Christian this book is helpful, yet kept me in a mindstate of descretion." The fact that their is an international commision calling on the USA and Canada to rescue the St. Clair river; Sounds like a fundamental interest in debates about future international interest in Clean water". The St. Clair runs into Lake erie. That be as it may, who has dominion over the great lakes is the question, especially with Canada going to into a trade agreement with China (The world's pontential economic superpower of C. 2050 - 2100) set to rival ours with Canada; ...

p
pinky0203
Jul 16, 2013

"A vivid, scientifically based forecast of our planet in forty years, distilling cutting-edge research into these world-changing forces: *demographic trends; *natural resource demand; *climate change; *globalization.

The world's population is exploding, wild species are vanishing, our environment is degrading, and the cost of resources from oil to water are going nowhere but up. What kind of world are we leaving for our children and grandchildren? The news is both alarmingly bad and surprisingly good."

I found this to be a very interesting book, with both optimistic and pessimistic forecasts for the future. If even some of what he suggests actually happens, then we really need to do more work on our individual impact on the environment and the world in general. This is not a quick read, but definitely worth taking the time to get through. I would recommend this to everyone.

s
SunKing2
Apr 14, 2011

Thoughtful book doesn't show wild changes but more subtle ones brought about by trends. Special emphasis is on the areas north of 45. You'll learn something from this book.

2
21288004246712
Dec 09, 2010

General overview of trends that should impact the northern regions of the world, but if the global warming forecasts prove correct we likely will live in a dangerous and violent world

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